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Lord Eatwell (Lab)

Speaking in the House of Lords on 25 February 2025

Debate

National Insurance Contributions (Secondary Class 1 Contributions) Bill

Contribution

My Lords, the amendments proposed by the noble Baroness, Lady Barker, are a classic example of how to distort a market. She wishes not only to exempt part-time employees from the measures in the Bill but to reduce the national insurance charge on part-time employees. She does not appear to have reflected on what would be the impact on full-time employees. How many full-time employees will, as a result of this measure, lose their jobs and be replaced by two or three part-time employees? How many companies will reach a cliff edge with respect to their employment policies that will ensure they develop only part-time employees, who often have fewer opportunities, and certainly fewer opportunities for promotion, than full-time employees? What has the noble Baroness got against full-time employment? We need an answer to that. Why is she so content to distort the labour market in this way? With respect to the amendments proposed by the noble Lord, Lord Londesborough, I have greater sympathy with what he says, but he too is creating a cliff edge. The cliff edge is at 25 employees and it will considerably distort the operations of the market at that stage. It will discourage companies from growing above 25 employees. It will encourage the break-up of structures, so that units employ only 25 employees. Most interestingly, the noble Lord asked for an impact assessment of the overall impact on employment of the measures in the Bill. There have been at least three—one by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, another by the OBR and another by the Treasury. They all demonstrate that, taking the measures in the Budget as a whole, employment in the next year will increase, not diminish. The error which, I am afraid, the noble Lord made in his argument is that, yes indeed, because of higher employment costs, there may be a reduction in employment per unit output, but, because of the stimulation of aggregate demand in the Budget, there will be more units of output. So, not only will these measures encourage the growth of labour productivity by reducing the input of labour per unit output but the expenditure of these measures, through a technical device called a balanced budget multiplier, will increase the level of employment in the coming year. The impact assessment is there for all to see.

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