Written Question·Department for Energy Security and Net Zero·UIN 100822

Climate Change

Tabled: 17 December 2025

Answered: 9 January 2026

Question

Sir Christopher Chope

To ask the Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero, if he will set out the evidential basis for his statement at Column 258 of Hansard on 25 November 2025 that "Thirty years of COPs have reduced global warming forecasts from 4°—indeed 5°—to so

Answer

Katie White

Before the Paris Agreement, policies in place put the world on track for around 4°C of warming by 2100. In 2013, Climate Action Tracker estimated close to 4°C of warming, with a one-in-three chance of exceeding 4°C. In 2010, the Emissions Gap Report from ...

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