Written Question·Treasury·UIN 84678

UK Trade with EU

Tabled: 23 October 2025
Answered: 29 October 2025
Named Day

Question

Stephen Gethins

Scottish National PartyArbroath and Broughty Ferry

To ask the Chancellor of the Exchequer, what recent assessment she has made of the potential impact of leaving the European Union on economic growth.

Answer

Lucy Rigby
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) is the government’s official forecaster. The OBR have included assessments of the economic impacts of leaving the EU in its forecasts since 2016. In March 2020, the OBR estimated that GDP will be 4 per cent lower...

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