Lord Sharpe of Epsom (Con)

My Lords, I genuinely admire the intent of the industrial strategy. The sectors that it highlights are sensible. I like the aspiration to focus on all regions and to nurture clusters. All that is very good, but it is a list of aspirations; it is not a strategy. A strategy is a plan of action designed to achieve a long-term or overall aim, and this is not that. All the aspirations in it are good and no one could reasonably argue with them, but the economy and the growth we need will not be delivered by this, or by fine words and noble sentiments. Growth is not a slogan, it is a result. Indeed, the introduction to the industrial strategy says that “the Government’s priority mission is to deliver strong, secure, and sustainable economic growth”, but the Government continue to mistake the former for the latter. Despite the Chancellor’s triumphant declarations that growth is the number one priority, the harsh reality confronting British businesses tells a starkly different story. The Governor of the Bank of England has delivered a sobering assessment that should give this House pause. He has categorically dismissed the Chancellor’s claims that Britain’s economy has turned a corner, warning instead that growth is slowing precisely because high taxes are biting deep into our economic foundations. The Governor’s analysis is both precise and damning. What the Chancellor has hailed as evidence of economic recovery is nothing more than a temporary blip driven by fleeting factors that will not be repeated. British businesses, rather than preparing for prosperity, must now brace themselves for an economic slowdown of this Government’s making. The employment figures alone should shame any Administration who claim to champion working people. Unemployment has risen every single month—all nine months—since the Government took office. This is not coincidence; it is consequence. Perhaps most telling is the collapse in Britain’s international standing as an investment destination. The number of foreign direct investment projects has plummeted to the lowest level since records began 18 years ago. According to EY, the Government have made the UK a less attractive place to do business than Oman, the Czech Republic and Saudi Arabia. Before the Chancellor’s Budget last year, a PwC survey ranked the United Kingdom as the second most attractive place for investment in the world. That is our record: their record is destroying that competitive advantage in less than a year. The human cost of these policy failures is becoming increasingly apparent. The British Chambers of Commerce has revealed that almost one-third of small and medium-sized employers have made redundancies or are actively contemplating job cuts as a direct consequence of the Government’s decision to hike employers’ national insurance contributions. Its survey of over 570 member firms found that 13% had already wielded the axe, while 19% were sharpening it for future use. In times of global uncertainty, businesses look to their own Governments for stability and support. Instead, this Government have chosen to pile domestic chaos upon international volatility. They have created a perfect storm of their own making. They speak eloquently of cutting energy costs while systematically pursuing policies that guarantee the opposite outcome. Their obsession with net zero has created an energy regime that punishes British businesses with costs five times higher than those faced by their American counterparts. The introduction to the strategy says on page 33: “There can be no plan for economic stability or sustainable growth that does not include a credible plan for net zero”. That is obvious nonsense: of course there can. This is a choice, and publishing elegant explanations about how they are going to alleviate the worst effects of their own policies is simply baffling, but it is not strategy. While pouring billions of pounds into subsidies for renewables, they steadfastly refuse to end the windfall tax on oil and gas companies or to issue new licences for drilling in the North Sea. They have turned their backs on our own North Sea resources, preferring instead to import energy from abroad rather than harness the secure—that word deserves repeating—and reliable supplies beneath our own waters. The result is an energy policy that reads like a masterclass in economic self-harm, and also puts us at a strategic disadvantage in a dangerous world. It would be remiss of me if I did not acknowledge credit where it is due. The commitment to free trade principles offers a glimmer of hope, and recent trade agreements suggest that the Government have not entirely abandoned the opportunities that Brexit provides. However, if we are truly to harness these benefits, we need comprehensive free trade deals, not the minor economic agreements that currently pass for trade policy. Their promise to reduce regulatory burdens by 25% reveals another layer of the Government’s duplicity. This sounds precisely like telling businesses what they want to hear, while doing the exact opposite in practice. The Employment Rights Bill alone, which they proudly champion, will impose £5 billion—the Government’s own impact assessment number—in administrative costs on British businesses and introduce a new agency, which is a regulator by any other name. How is that part of a strategy to reduce regulatory burdens? I suspect that this £5 billionfigure will represent only the tip of the iceberg. What the Government have failed to factor into their calculations is the true cost of empowering trade unions to constantly disrupt business operations, of making it infinitely riskier and more expensive to hire workers, and of creating a labyrinth of legal obligations that will tie employers in knots for years to come. Small businesses, already struggling with the highest tax burden in a generation, will find themselves drowning in compliance costs that will inevitably dwarf the Government’s modest £5 billion estimate. The impact on young people seeking employment is particularly troubling. At a time when youth unemployment demands urgent attention, the Government are making it more expensive and riskier for employers to take a chance on inexperienced workers. The Employment Rights Bill, whatever its intentions, will price young people out of the job market at the very moment they need opportunity most. We have also witnessed a hat-trick of U-turns from the Prime Minister, including on welfare reform. We were told that these measures were necessary to get people back into work. I suspect that the Government are not that interested in that after all. What is the point of an industrial strategy if there is no industry left? Will the cost of this U-turn simply mean more taxes, or will the Minister unequivocally rule out further tax rises today? The Government have shown they do not understand how wealth is created and how economies grow. You cannot tax your way to prosperity, you cannot regulate your way to competitiveness, and you certainly cannot lecture businesses about growth while systematically undermining the conditions that make growth possible. The question before us is simple: will the Government recognise that their approach is failing, or will they continue down a path that leads inevitably to economic decline? The evidence is mounting, the damage is spreading and time is running short.