Contribution
My Lords, I thank the Minister for responding on the Statement made in another place.
I very much appreciate that this plan has taken longer to finalise than expected, with a year’s delay, but I have to say that we will join those who support a measured and incremental move towards low-carbon home heating systems. If that is the objective, there are many measures in the plan today that are worthy of support, not least, for example, the greater role for home batteries.
Where our concerns lie is with the test against which any transition must be judged; namely, its impact on the capital and operating costs for families—in other words, on household bills. Having read the Statement and the impact assessment, our view is that what should be a welcome and important initiative to save consumers money looks more likely to have the opposite effect, with rising energy bills and taxpayer-funded initiatives, not least through the recently locked-in energy costs well above market rates.
In the impact assessment, there was no reference to the impact on tenants as a result of the requirements placed on landlords. I very much hope the Minister will address whether these costs can or in his view will be passed on to tenants.
Regarding heating systems, 50% of the British public are unlikely to install low-carbon systems, such as heat pumps, due to high installation costs. Even if the warm homes plan takes the proclaimed £200 off bills for the 5 million projected homes over the next four years, which is unlikely given current energy and projected costs, that will still leave 25 million homes without respite, worrying about the installation costs of the new heating systems. How does the Minister intend to reach the other 80% of the country struggling with higher bills?
Does the Minister agree that the central and more enduring problem is the ongoing operational costs of low-carbon heating? Two-thirds of people with heat pumps now find it more expensive to heat their homes than they did with their previous system. Frankly, that is no surprise. The price of electricity per unit currently sits at a multiple of that of gas, yet the Secretary of State’s plan offers no redress for the long-term costs of this policy. Perhaps the Minister can now lay out whether the department has plans to address the high operating costs of heat pumps.
The Secretary of State has also announced the founding of a new quango, the warm homes agency. The Government claim to be offsetting this with the abolition of Salix, but I am sure your Lordships are aware that this is not a like-for-like trade-off. Can the Minister now confirm what his colleague in the other place could not and give an estimate of the cost of both the new arm’s-length body and the net cost of this quango reorganisation?
Another key element of the plan is the move to introduce widespread solar panels in the UK, set out in the Warm Homes Plan as
“Unleashing the rooftop solar revolution”
on page 33. This is timely, given the Prime Minister’s visit to China. The reason this is so important is that well over 80% of PV modules used in the UK have significant Chinese content. The true figure is very likely to be above 90% when we include panels made by Chinese-headquartered manufacturers. As so many non-Chinese brands still rely on Chinese wafers, a panel can be assembled in, say, Vietnam, Malaysia or the EU and still be heavily Chinese in content. That is why estimates based only on the brand’s country of assembly understate the real proportion. Including these brands, most energy analysts treat around 90% of UK PV panels as having Chinese content in their supply chain.
China’s share of the global supply of polysilicon is some 80% to 85%, and the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region’s share of China’s solar polysilicon has been variously estimated at between 35% and 45% at its peak, all of which implies that 25% to 35% of global solar polysilicon has plausibly been sourced from Xinjiang-based plants. Can the Minister inform the House how Great British Energy can meet its legal obligation to track exactly which polysilicon plant was used for any UK import, whether that plant is in Xinjiang or elsewhere, and whether specific batches are verified as free of Uyghur labour?
The noble Lord, Lord Alton, has spoken in this House and discussed with me this morning his concern that forced labour has been widely documented in the region and that there is a need to shut the door on forced labour components found in Chinese supplies of polysilicon. Does the Minister therefore accept that independent auditors and NGOs still argue that full traceability is patchy due to multisite production in different factories and different time periods, continuously shifting new contracts and new plants coming online, and lack of full transparency at the level of polysilicon origin?
As I have said, the intentions behind the warm homes plan are commendable, and the help with capital costs is welcome, but this must be accompanied by plans for lowering operational costs, coupled with wider reforms to bring down the cost of electricity. Otherwise, this well-intentioned plan will become a passport to higher domestic electricity bills. I look forward to the Minister’s response.