Baroness Neville-Rolfe (Con)

My Lords, Motion J1 reintroduces my proposal for a review of the long-term affordability, intergenerational unfairness, fiscal sustainability and accounting treatment of public service pension schemes. I am trying to help the Government to fill a lacuna in their important work on pensions, so I was taken aback by the Commons’ reason for rejecting it—namely, “that it is not necessary to duplicate existing information regarding public sector pension schemes”. The presentation of the liability represented by public sector pensions is widely seen as inadequate, and the PAC itself has expressed concerns—in particular that pension liabilities are not being presented in a way that allows Parliament properly to understand their real costs in the long term. I will highlight four reasons why a review is needed. First, the cost is huge. As we have heard repeatedly, unfunded pension liabilities represent the second-largest government liability after gilts. Currently, we commit future taxpayers to about £60 billion of new expenditure every year, in the form of a stream of index-linked new expenditure. According to the OBR, the long-term liability is £1.4 trillion, but it may be more as a lot depends on the assumptions made. Secondly, it is an unfunded pay-as-you-go scheme. The problem with that is that the current generation of older and former public sector workers are taking money from younger generations of workers already weighed down by trying to finance housing, young families and, in some cases, repaying student loans. This is unfair, and it is why I put intergenerational unfairness at the heart of the review. Thirdly, the coalition did well to reform some public sector pensions following the Hutton review, as the Minister acknowledged, but the new arrangements have turned out to be more costly than expected. Sadly, growth, which helps to ease things, has been modest. Moreover, substantial increases in the pay and size of the public sector make things look better in the short term, as employer and employee contributions increase. However, this is a mirage, as it stores up even more trouble for the future, as greater payouts on higher salaries will be needed as those people in the system retire. Fourthly, there are serious accounting issues, as we know from the PAC. The scale of liabilities is not clearly visible from the public accounts. Moreover, as I have learned from my unique experience as a civil servant and a Cabinet Office Minister, the costs of future pensions are not properly taken into account in decision-making across the public sector—for example, on restructuring or adding to the workforce. In conclusion, there is a real need to establish whether the system is fair and sustainable, and whether anything could be done to improve things. I emphasise that I support the work of public sector workers and that I am not making any recommendations. That is for the experts, who would look at the whole area objectively, and it is for the Government to decide what, if anything, needs to be done.