Baroness Stedman-Scott (Con)

My Lords, I support Amendment 217, tabled by my noble friend Lady Neville-Rolfe. This amendment does not seek to diminish the value of public service, nor to undermine the pensions of those who dedicate their careers to the NHS, our schools, the civil service, the Armed Forces, the police or the fire service. Rather, it asks for something far more modest and necessary: transparency, long-term thinking and honesty about sustainability. The amendment would require the Secretary of State to conduct and publish a review of the long-term affordability, intergenerational fairness, fiscal sustainability and accounting treatment of our major public service pension schemes, including the NHS pension scheme, the teachers’ pension scheme, the Civil Service Pension Scheme, the Armed Forces pension scheme, the police pension scheme and the firefighters’ pension scheme. My noble friend Lady Neville-Rolfe has outlined clearly and forensically the challenges of the concerns about the sustainability of unfunded public sector schemes. These are not new, but they are becoming more pressing. In 2023-24, total employer and employee contributions amounted to £49.9 billion. Total payments to pensioners were £55 billion. That left a shortfall of £5.1 billion, met directly from general taxation. In other words, today’s taxpayers are already topping up the system. According to the Policy Exchange, unfunded public sector pension liabilities now stand at approximately £1.4 trillion: around 45% of GDP and approaching half the size, or more, of the official national debt. These are not hypothetical sums; they are long-term promises underwritten by future taxpayers. Unlike funded private sector schemes, most public sector pension contributions are not invested to generate returns; they are returned to the Treasury while current pensions are paid from current spending. This means future liabilities depend on future taxation. The burden is simply rolled forward. That may be sustainable—but it may not be. Surely this Committee is entitled to know which it is. My noble friend Lady Noakes in her foreword to the Policy Exchange report set out clearly that transparency and realism are essential if we are to protect both pensioners and taxpayers. A mature system does not fear review; it welcomes it. I ask the Minister: do the Government believe the current trajectory of unfunded public service pension liabilities is sustainable over the next 20 or 30 years, what assessment has been made of the intergenerational fairness of asking younger taxpayers—many without access to defined benefit pensions themselves—to underwrite these commitments, how does the Treasury account for these liabilities in long-term fiscal planning, and are they fully reflected in measures of public sector net worth? Finally, if the Government are confident in the system’s sustainability, why resist a formal review that would provide clarity and reassurance? This amendment would not prescribe reform; it simply asks for a comprehensive review and publication of the facts. If the costs are sustainable then let us demonstrate it, and if adjustments are needed then let us confront them honestly.